During the "Twelfth Five-Year Plan" period, China's energy structure changes are equivalent to an acceleration of 100 years. The investment of several trillion yuan will soon be settled in new energy. Who will divide the food and see the details.
China's energy structure has not changed much since 1978. The proportion of coal energy in the past 30 years has dropped from 70.7% in 1978 to 69% in 2009, only a decrease of 1.7%. According to China's energy industry plan, coal in the next 5 years. The proportion will fall by 6%, which is equivalent to a 100-year acceleration in structural adjustment. It can be said that the "Twelfth Five-Year Plan" period will be the first five years of changes in energy structure. By 2050, China's coal energy ratio will be reduced to 35%-40%.
In accordance with the goals set in the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan†energy plan, we should accelerate the construction of hydropower and nuclear power during the “Twelfth Five-Year Plan†period, and actively and orderly convert and utilize renewable energy such as wind power, solar energy and biomass energy. It is estimated that by 2015, the development scale of China's conventional hydropower, nuclear power, wind energy and other renewable energy sources will reach 250 million kilowatts, 39 million kilowatts and 100 million kilowatts respectively. At the same time, China's natural gas accounted for 4.9% of primary energy and 4% of non-fossil energy.
The “Twelfth Five-Year†grid investment is expected to increase substantially, with a total volume of over RMB 2 trillion and an annual average of RMB 400 billion. The total amount is much higher than the 1.5 trillion yuan during the “11th Five-Year Plan†period. Among them, investment in UHV is expected to reach 500 billion yuan, of which R&D investment will reach 300 billion yuan, and UHV DC line investment will reach 200 billion yuan. According to the State Grid Plan, by 2020, the UHV backbone power grid with the “Sanhua area†as the core and connecting China's major regional power grids and major load centers will be built. There will be 60 UHV AC substations and about 37 new ones. A total of 11 new UHV DC lines will be built.
In 2015, China's total primary energy consumption can be controlled at 4 billion to 4.2 billion tons of standard coal, while ensuring that non-fossil energy consumption accounts for more than 11% of primary energy consumption.
Based on the current 185 million kilowatts, hydropower development utilization rate is only about 34%, far lower than the average level of 60%-70% in developed countries. In 2009, China's hydropower installed capacity was 197 million kilowatts. To achieve the 2020 carbon emission target, at least 120 million kilowatts of hydropower installed capacity will be approved during the 12th Five-Year Plan period, and the installed capacity of 53 million kilowatts will be completed.
By 2020 and 2030, China's nuclear power installed capacity will exceed 80 million kilowatts and 200 million kilowatts. According to the current nuclear power installed capacity of less than 10 million kilowatts, this means that the installed capacity of nuclear power will be 8 times in the next 10 years, and the investment will reach 1.2 trillion yuan in 10 years.
At present, China's wind power installed capacity is 21.75 million kilowatts, and the wind power industry has reached the world's number one in terms of capacity and installed capacity. In 2015, the national wind power planning installed capacity of 90 million kilowatts, it is predicted that in 2020, the national wind power planning installed capacity of 150 million kilowatts, equipment investment reached 770 billion yuan.
China's solar industry has always been dominated by production and is in poor application. In 2009, China's annual production of solar cells accounted for 43% of the world's total, making it the world's largest solar cell producer. In terms of applications, the installed capacity of solar power is currently only 600,000 kilowatts. According to the "Emerging Energy Industry Development Plan", by 2015, solar power installed capacity will reach 5 million kilowatts, and by 2020, solar power installed capacity will reach 20 million kilowatts.
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